SNCOA Pillars 2018-2022: Geopolitical and Strategic Issues

In the first two decades of the 21st century, the coevolutionary adaptation of cyber threat actors and technology has been akin to an escalatory arms race between cyber offense and cyber defense. Paradigm-shifting technology advancement, transparent unclassified reporting on cyber incidents, and the proliferation of open-source hacking tools in the context of complex geopolitical dynamics further exacerbate the cyber defense challenge. Although the integration of such practices as cyber threat modeling, information-sharing, and threat-hunting into defensive strategies has become more common in recent years, the cyber defense community needs to continue to push the envelope to become more resilient and, ideally, get ahead of the threats facing organizations.

This research endeavors to contribute to the community via the formulation of a process-based model called the Scalable Warning and Resilience Model (SWARM), which focuses on cyber threats from state-sponsored actors but without the assumption of access to classified information or assets. SWARM prioritizes threat detection, facilitates better prediction of cyber incidents, and enhances network resilience by combining processes that seek to help organizations anticipate and defend against attackers. The model tailors data collection, cyber threat intelligence, and penetration testing to the particular type of intrusion sets most likely to target one's network.

This proposed model adapts the concept of applying both resilience and indications and warning (I&W) frameworks to information environments while also incorporating a combination of tailored threat modeling and emulation. This report also includes a case study—based on cyber incidents that occurred at the RAND Corporation—that demonstrates how the model has the potential to produce promising results for defenders by proactively protecting their systems through early warning of cyber incidents before they occur.

Digital visual technologies have become an important tool of humanitarian governance. They allow the monitoring of crises from afar, making it possible to detect human rights violations and refugee movements, despite a crisis area being inaccessible. However, the political effects of such “digital humanitarianism” are understudied. This article aims to amend this gap by analyzing which forms of seeing, showing, and governing refugee camps are enabled by digital technologies. To this end, the article combines scholarship on the politics of the refugee camp with the emerging body of work on digital humanitarianism. It proposes the notion of a “visual assemblage of the refugee camp” to conceptualize the increasing adoption of visual technologies in refugee camp governance. Using the two paradigmatic cases of Zaatari and Azraq, two refugee camps for displaced Syrians in Jordan, the text outlines how this visual assemblage enacts the refugee camp in different ways—thus bringing about different versions of the camp. The case study reveals three such enactments of the refugee camp—as a technology of care and control; as a political space; and, as a governmental laboratory—and discusses how these interact and clash in everyday camp life.